Indy Eleven vs Ottawa Fury analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.3%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
31%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Indy Eleven
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2015 |
EDM
2 - 0
IND
53%
25%
22%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
IND
0 - 1
ATL
52%
23%
26%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Jul. 2015 |
IND
1 - 1
NYC
33%
28%
39%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | +1 |
| 19 Jul. 2015 |
OTT
4 - 2
IND
39%
28%
33%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Jul. 2015 |
IND
2 - 1
CAR
36%
28%
37%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Ottawa Fury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
EDM
0 - 1
OTT
53%
25%
22%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2015 |
OTT
2 - 1
CAR
34%
28%
38%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Jul. 2015 |
OTT
2 - 1
ATL
50%
23%
26%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Jul. 2015 |
OTT
4 - 2
IND
39%
28%
33%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Jul. 2015 |
MIN
1 - 1
OTT
57%
25%
18%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | 0 |