Indy Eleven vs Ottawa Fury analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.3%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
27.4%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Indy Eleven
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
MIN
5 - 1
IND
59%
24%
17%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
SAN
2 - 0
IND
61%
22%
16%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2014 |
IND
0 - 0
FOR
46%
24%
31%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2014 |
IND
2 - 4
ATL
41%
24%
35%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2014 |
EDM
0 - 1
IND
54%
23%
23%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Ottawa Fury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
OTT
1 - 1
SAN
30%
28%
42%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
OTT
1 - 2
FOR
44%
25%
32%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2014 |
MIN
2 - 1
OTT
55%
26%
19%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2014 |
CAR
3 - 0
OTT
62%
22%
16%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 2014 |
OTT
0 - 1
NYC
30%
29%
42%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | 0 |