Indonesia vs Valencia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.1%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.3%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.5%
61.4%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
15.3%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.6%
0-2
13.1%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.1%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.9%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Indonesia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2012 |
PHL
2 - 2
IDN
22%
22%
56%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2012 |
MTN
0 - 2
IDN
13%
18%
69%
|
61 | 47 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2012 |
BHR
10 - 0
IDN
65%
20%
15%
|
63 | 79 | 16 | -2 |
| 15 Nov. 2011 |
IDN
1 - 4
IRN
18%
24%
58%
|
64 | 90 | 26 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2011 |
QAT
4 - 0
IDN
66%
21%
14%
|
64 | 80 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2012 |
VCF
1 - 1
FCP
53%
22%
24%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2012 |
ARB
1 - 1
VCF
12%
23%
65%
|
89 | 58 | 31 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2012 |
ROD
0 - 4
VCF
3%
15%
83%
|
89 | 43 | 46 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2012 |
EBT
1 - 1
VCF
15%
25%
60%
|
89 | 70 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
RSO
1 - 0
VCF
23%
27%
50%
|
90 | 81 | 9 | -1 |