Indonesia vs Tanzania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.5%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
26.9%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Indonesia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2024 |
VIE
0 - 3
IDN
51%
23%
26%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2024 |
IDN
1 - 0
VIE
32%
23%
45%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
AUS
4 - 0
IDN
85%
11%
4%
|
56 | 88 | 32 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2024 |
JPN
3 - 1
IDN
87%
9%
4%
|
56 | 90 | 34 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2024 |
VIE
0 - 1
IDN
57%
22%
21%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Tanzania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2024 |
SDN
0 - 1
TAN
45%
26%
28%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2024 |
TAN
3 - 0
MNG
76%
16%
8%
|
61 | 28 | 33 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2024 |
BGR
1 - 0
TAN
73%
18%
10%
|
61 | 76 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2024 |
TAN
0 - 0
COD
24%
25%
52%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
ZAM
1 - 1
TAN
73%
17%
10%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | 0 |