ASEAN Championship Final
Global 2-3
Indonesia vs Thailand analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.3%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.8%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.1%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
65.7%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.6%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.6%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.4%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Indonesia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2016 |
VIE
2 - 2
IDN
54%
22%
24%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
IDN
2 - 1
VIE
31%
25%
44%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2016 |
SGP
1 - 2
IDN
30%
23%
47%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2016 |
PHL
2 - 2
IDN
45%
23%
32%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
THA
4 - 2
IDN
70%
18%
12%
|
55 | 71 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Thailand
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2016 |
THA
4 - 0
MMR
79%
14%
7%
|
73 | 47 | 26 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
MMR
0 - 2
THA
7%
14%
79%
|
73 | 47 | 26 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2016 |
PHL
0 - 1
THA
15%
18%
67%
|
72 | 55 | 17 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2016 |
THA
1 - 0
SGP
80%
14%
6%
|
72 | 49 | 23 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
THA
4 - 2
IDN
70%
18%
12%
|
71 | 55 | 16 | +1 |