Indonesia vs Vanuatu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.2%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.8%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
17.5%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Indonesia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2019 |
JOR
4 - 1
IDN
62%
23%
15%
|
54 | 72 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2019 |
MMR
0 - 2
IDN
19%
21%
60%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
IDN
0 - 0
PHL
42%
25%
33%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
THA
4 - 2
IDN
68%
18%
13%
|
54 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2018 |
IDN
3 - 1
TLS
85%
11%
4%
|
54 | 20 | 34 | 0 |
Matches
Vanuatu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 2019 |
FIJ
0 - 0
VAN
49%
25%
27%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2019 |
VAN
2 - 0
TAH
38%
24%
39%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2017 |
VAN
5 - 0
TON
78%
14%
8%
|
44 | 17 | 27 | +3 |
| 23 Nov. 2017 |
VAN
0 - 1
EST
5%
11%
85%
|
44 | 71 | 27 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2016 |
FIJ
2 - 3
VAN
68%
19%
13%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | +1 |