Indonesia vs Nepal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.7%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.2%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.1%
10.2%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Indonesia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2014 |
IDN
1 - 1
DOM
48%
22%
30%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
CUB
1 - 0
IDN
55%
24%
21%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2014 |
AND
0 - 1
IDN
19%
21%
60%
|
56 | 38 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2014 |
KSA
1 - 0
IDN
69%
20%
11%
|
57 | 81 | 24 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2013 |
IDN
0 - 2
IRQ
18%
22%
61%
|
57 | 78 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Nepal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2014 |
PHL
3 - 0
NPL
65%
20%
15%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2013 |
IND
2 - 0
NPL
52%
24%
24%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2013 |
NPL
1 - 1
PAK
63%
22%
15%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
NPL
2 - 0
BGD
52%
25%
23%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2013 |
NPL
0 - 0
PLE
25%
25%
50%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | +1 |