Indonesia vs Moldova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.1%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.7%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
46.7%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Indonesia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 1996 |
VIE
3 - 2
IDN
51%
24%
25%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1996 |
MAS
3 - 1
IDN
59%
21%
20%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 1996 |
IDN
1 - 1
VIE
51%
24%
25%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1996 |
IDN
6 - 1
MMR
53%
23%
24%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 1996 |
IDN
3 - 0
KHM
79%
13%
8%
|
56 | 35 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Moldova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 1996 |
MDA
1 - 3
ITA
8%
23%
69%
|
70 | 96 | 26 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1996 |
MDA
0 - 3
ENG
6%
19%
75%
|
70 | 95 | 25 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 1996 |
TUR
2 - 0
MDA
82%
12%
7%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 1996 |
ROU
3 - 1
MDA
91%
7%
2%
|
71 | 90 | 19 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 1996 |
MDA
2 - 2
UKR
43%
25%
31%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | +1 |