Indonesia vs Iraq analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.3%
23%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
59%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.7%
0-4
3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Indonesia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
IDN
0 - 0
TAN
49%
25%
27%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2024 |
VIE
0 - 3
IDN
51%
23%
26%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | +2 |
| 21 Mar. 2024 |
IDN
1 - 0
VIE
32%
23%
45%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
AUS
4 - 0
IDN
85%
11%
4%
|
55 | 88 | 33 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2024 |
JPN
3 - 1
IDN
87%
9%
4%
|
55 | 90 | 35 | 0 |
Matches
Iraq
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2024 |
PHL
0 - 5
IRQ
11%
21%
69%
|
81 | 45 | 36 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2024 |
IRQ
1 - 0
PHL
79%
15%
6%
|
81 | 45 | 36 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2024 |
IRQ
2 - 3
JOR
54%
24%
22%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2024 |
IRQ
3 - 2
VIE
63%
21%
16%
|
81 | 63 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2024 |
IRQ
2 - 1
JPN
13%
20%
67%
|
80 | 90 | 10 | +1 |