Indonesia vs Iraq analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.5%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
5%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.5%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22%
35.4%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Indonesia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 1967 |
IDN
0 - 2
AUS
40%
22%
39%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1967 |
IDN
3 - 0
IND
55%
20%
25%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | +2 |
| 23 Aug. 1967 |
IDN
1 - 2
HKG
68%
16%
16%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 1967 |
IDN
0 - 5
MMR
63%
18%
19%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | -2 |
| 15 Aug. 1967 |
TJK
1 - 2
IDN
22%
23%
55%
|
65 | 37 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
Iraq
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 1968 |
THA
0 - 4
IRQ
39%
22%
39%
|
72 | 48 | 24 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1967 |
LBY
0 - 1
IRQ
47%
21%
32%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 1967 |
SDN
2 - 2
IRQ
43%
22%
35%
|
72 | 55 | 17 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 1966 |
IRQ
2 - 1
SYR
67%
17%
17%
|
71 | 57 | 14 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 1966 |
IRQ
3 - 1
LBY
64%
18%
18%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |