Indonesia vs Cameroon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.6%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.4%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.4%
58%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
14.6%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.1%
0-2
12%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Indonesia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2014 |
IDN
5 - 1
LAO
82%
12%
6%
|
55 | 32 | 23 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2014 |
PHL
4 - 0
IDN
34%
24%
42%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | -2 |
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
VIE
2 - 2
IDN
39%
24%
37%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
IDN
0 - 2
SYR
22%
22%
56%
|
57 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2014 |
IDN
1 - 0
KHM
81%
12%
6%
|
58 | 26 | 32 | -1 |
Matches
Cameroon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2015 |
CMR
0 - 1
CIV
31%
25%
44%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
CMR
1 - 1
GUI
58%
23%
19%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2015 |
MLI
1 - 1
CMR
25%
26%
49%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2015 |
CMR
1 - 1
RSA
50%
26%
24%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2015 |
CMR
1 - 1
COD
61%
23%
16%
|
85 | 68 | 17 | -1 |