Indonesia vs Cameroon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.8%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.5%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.7%
57.5%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
14.7%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.2%
0-2
12%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.8%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Indonesia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2012 |
IDN
1 - 0
TLS
88%
9%
3%
|
60 | 15 | 45 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2012 |
VIE
0 - 0
IDN
45%
24%
31%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2012 |
IDN
0 - 2
PRK
34%
26%
40%
|
61 | 77 | 16 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
IDN
0 - 5
VCF
15%
24%
61%
|
62 | 89 | 27 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 2012 |
PHL
2 - 2
IDN
22%
22%
56%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Cameroon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2012 |
ALB
0 - 0
CMR
24%
27%
49%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2012 |
COL
3 - 0
CMR
65%
21%
14%
|
86 | 91 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
CMR
2 - 1
CPV
67%
21%
12%
|
86 | 68 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
CPV
2 - 0
CMR
23%
28%
50%
|
86 | 66 | 20 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2012 |
CMR
1 - 0
GNB
90%
8%
2%
|
87 | 55 | 32 | -1 |