Indonesia vs Burundi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.4%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
23.7%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Indonesia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2023 |
VIE
2 - 0
IDN
62%
21%
18%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2023 |
IDN
0 - 0
VIE
26%
23%
51%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2023 |
PHL
1 - 2
IDN
18%
20%
62%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2022 |
IDN
1 - 1
THA
17%
19%
64%
|
55 | 70 | 15 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2022 |
BRN
0 - 7
IDN
3%
10%
87%
|
55 | 19 | 36 | 0 |
Matches
Burundi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2022 |
CIV
4 - 0
BDI
83%
13%
5%
|
55 | 84 | 29 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2022 |
DJI
2 - 1
BDI
9%
19%
72%
|
56 | 28 | 28 | -1 |
| 24 Jul. 2022 |
BDI
2 - 1
DJI
81%
14%
5%
|
56 | 28 | 28 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2022 |
BDI
0 - 1
CMR
14%
24%
63%
|
56 | 81 | 25 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
NAM
1 - 1
BDI
57%
24%
19%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |