Indonesia vs Saudi Arabia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.6%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.7%
1-0
5%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.3%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.6%
66.7%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
13.4%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.6%
0-3
8.7%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
12.1%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Indonesia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2013 |
IRQ
1 - 0
IDN
69%
19%
12%
|
58 | 80 | 22 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2013 |
JOR
5 - 0
IDN
64%
21%
14%
|
58 | 75 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
MAS
2 - 0
IDN
29%
24%
47%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | -2 |
| 28 Nov. 2012 |
IDN
1 - 0
SGP
50%
23%
27%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
IDN
2 - 2
LAO
87%
9%
4%
|
59 | 34 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Saudi Arabia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
MAS
1 - 4
KSA
15%
25%
60%
|
83 | 56 | 27 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2013 |
KSA
2 - 1
CHN
34%
27%
39%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
KWT
1 - 0
KSA
37%
26%
37%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2013 |
YEM
0 - 2
KSA
16%
25%
60%
|
83 | 55 | 28 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
KSA
0 - 2
IRQ
48%
27%
26%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |