Indonesia vs Libya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.3%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
32.5%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Indonesia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2023 |
PHL
1 - 1
IDN
15%
18%
68%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2023 |
IRQ
5 - 1
IDN
71%
19%
10%
|
57 | 80 | 23 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2023 |
BRN
0 - 6
IDN
6%
11%
83%
|
57 | 18 | 39 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2023 |
IDN
6 - 0
BRN
82%
12%
6%
|
57 | 18 | 39 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2023 |
IDN
2 - 0
TKM
55%
22%
23%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Libya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2023 |
LBY
1 - 1
CMR
24%
27%
49%
|
62 | 80 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2023 |
SWZ
0 - 1
LBY
29%
27%
45%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2023 |
LBY
1 - 1
NIG
59%
23%
18%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
LBR
2 - 3
LBY
28%
27%
45%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2023 |
LBY
1 - 1
EQG
35%
25%
40%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |