Indonesia vs Libya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.6%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
37.1%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Indonesia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 2024 |
IDN
0 - 4
LBY
42%
25%
33%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2023 |
PHL
1 - 1
IDN
15%
18%
68%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2023 |
IRQ
5 - 1
IDN
71%
19%
10%
|
57 | 80 | 23 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2023 |
BRN
0 - 6
IDN
6%
11%
83%
|
57 | 18 | 39 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2023 |
IDN
6 - 0
BRN
82%
12%
6%
|
57 | 18 | 39 | 0 |
Matches
Libya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 2024 |
IDN
0 - 4
LBY
42%
25%
33%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2023 |
LBY
1 - 1
CMR
24%
27%
49%
|
62 | 80 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2023 |
SWZ
0 - 1
LBY
29%
27%
45%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2023 |
LBY
1 - 1
NIG
59%
23%
18%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
LBR
2 - 3
LBY
28%
27%
45%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |