Indonesia vs Philippines analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.2%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.7%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.8%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.7%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.3%
7.4%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Indonesia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
VIE
1 - 0
IDN
37%
24%
39%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2024 |
IDN
3 - 3
LAO
86%
10%
4%
|
59 | 20 | 39 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2024 |
MMR
0 - 1
IDN
8%
15%
78%
|
59 | 35 | 24 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2024 |
IDN
2 - 0
KSA
16%
22%
62%
|
58 | 80 | 22 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2024 |
IDN
0 - 4
JPN
13%
20%
68%
|
58 | 90 | 32 | 0 |
Matches
Philippines
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2024 |
PHL
1 - 1
VIE
13%
19%
68%
|
42 | 60 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
LAO
1 - 1
PHL
13%
20%
68%
|
43 | 20 | 23 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2024 |
PHL
1 - 1
MMR
59%
21%
20%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2024 |
HKG
3 - 1
PHL
46%
24%
30%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
PHL
0 - 0
TJK
16%
20%
64%
|
44 | 60 | 16 | 0 |