Indonesia vs China analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.7%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.2%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
52%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
15.9%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Indonesia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2001 |
CHN
5 - 1
IDN
80%
13%
7%
|
64 | 84 | 20 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2001 |
MDV
0 - 2
IDN
27%
22%
52%
|
63 | 41 | 22 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2001 |
KHM
0 - 2
IDN
23%
21%
56%
|
63 | 35 | 28 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2001 |
IDN
6 - 0
KHM
81%
12%
7%
|
63 | 35 | 28 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2001 |
IDN
5 - 0
MDV
79%
13%
8%
|
63 | 42 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
China
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2001 |
CHN
3 - 1
KHM
94%
5%
1%
|
84 | 34 | 50 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2001 |
CHN
5 - 1
IDN
80%
13%
7%
|
84 | 64 | 20 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2001 |
KHM
0 - 4
CHN
3%
15%
82%
|
84 | 35 | 49 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2001 |
MDV
0 - 1
CHN
4%
15%
81%
|
84 | 41 | 43 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2001 |
CHN
10 - 1
MDV
93%
6%
1%
|
84 | 41 | 43 | 0 |