Indiana Hoosiers vs Northwestern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.9%
Win probability
3.17
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.9%
6-0
3.3%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.3%
5-0
6.3%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.5%
4-0
9.9%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
<0%
+4
14.1%
3-0
12.5%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.4%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.8%
9.1%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
4.3%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
9.1%
3.9%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.1%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Indiana Hoosiers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
MGW
0 - 1
IDH
21%
20%
59%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2021 |
IDH
3 - 0
NOR
86%
10%
5%
|
36 | 16 | 20 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2021 |
RSK
0 - 3
IDH
19%
20%
61%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2021 |
IDH
2 - 1
MSS
84%
11%
5%
|
34 | 18 | 16 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2021 |
WIS
0 - 4
IDH
6%
13%
81%
|
34 | 10 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Northwestern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2021 |
RSK
1 - 0
NOR
71%
16%
13%
|
15 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
NOR
1 - 2
MLT
25%
21%
54%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2021 |
IDH
3 - 0
NOR
86%
10%
5%
|
16 | 36 | 20 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2021 |
NOR
0 - 1
PSN
12%
17%
71%
|
16 | 31 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2021 |
NOR
1 - 1
WIS
84%
11%
6%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | 0 |