India vs Sri Lanka analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.6%
4-0
8.8%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.3%
3-0
13.5%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.3%
2-0
15.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
12%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
+1
21%
12.3%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
12.3%
4.7%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.8%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
India
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2021 |
BGD
1 - 1
IND
12%
20%
68%
|
52 | 36 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2021 |
NPL
1 - 2
IND
18%
23%
60%
|
52 | 38 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2021 |
NPL
1 - 1
IND
16%
22%
62%
|
52 | 37 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2021 |
IND
1 - 1
AFG
61%
20%
20%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2021 |
BGD
0 - 2
IND
15%
22%
63%
|
52 | 37 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Sri Lanka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2021 |
LKA
2 - 3
NPL
21%
23%
56%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2021 |
LKA
0 - 1
BGD
28%
25%
48%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Jun. 2021 |
LKA
0 - 5
KOR
7%
17%
76%
|
27 | 88 | 61 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2021 |
LBN
3 - 2
LKA
82%
13%
4%
|
27 | 65 | 38 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2019 |
TKM
2 - 0
LKA
79%
14%
7%
|
27 | 57 | 30 | 0 |