WC Qual. Asia Final
Global 2-0
India vs Nepal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.4%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
19.2%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
India
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2014 |
IND
2 - 3
PLE
31%
26%
42%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2014 |
IND
2 - 2
BGD
63%
22%
15%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2013 |
IND
2 - 0
NPL
52%
24%
24%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2013 |
IND
1 - 1
PHL
30%
24%
46%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2013 |
BGD
1 - 1
IND
32%
26%
42%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Nepal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2014 |
PHL
3 - 0
NPL
70%
18%
12%
|
42 | 55 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2014 |
IDN
2 - 0
NPL
74%
16%
10%
|
42 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2014 |
PHL
3 - 0
NPL
65%
20%
15%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2013 |
IND
2 - 0
NPL
52%
24%
24%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2013 |
NPL
1 - 1
PAK
63%
22%
15%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | -1 |