India vs Afghanistan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.6%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.7%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
19.9%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
India
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2021 |
BGD
0 - 2
IND
15%
22%
63%
|
52 | 37 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2021 |
IND
0 - 1
QAT
10%
18%
72%
|
52 | 83 | 31 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2021 |
IND
0 - 6
UAE
15%
23%
62%
|
53 | 78 | 25 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2021 |
IND
1 - 1
OMA
14%
22%
64%
|
52 | 79 | 27 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2019 |
OMA
1 - 0
IND
79%
16%
5%
|
53 | 79 | 26 | -1 |
Matches
Afghanistan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2021 |
AFG
1 - 2
OMA
11%
20%
70%
|
47 | 79 | 32 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2021 |
BGD
1 - 1
AFG
19%
21%
61%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2021 |
SGP
1 - 1
AFG
58%
20%
22%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2021 |
IDN
2 - 3
AFG
64%
18%
17%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2019 |
AFG
0 - 1
QAT
7%
16%
77%
|
46 | 84 | 38 | 0 |