Dutch India vs England analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.5%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.1%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.4%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
59.5%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.4%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.5%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dutch India
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 1914 |
INE
1 - 1
SCO
30%
24%
45%
|
55 | 75 | 20 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1914 |
ENG
0 - 3
INE
88%
8%
4%
|
53 | 84 | 31 | +2 |
| 19 Jan. 1914 |
WAL
1 - 2
INE
77%
14%
9%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 1913 |
INE
1 - 2
SCO
20%
23%
58%
|
52 | 76 | 24 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1913 |
INE
2 - 1
ENG
93%
5%
2%
|
52 | 26 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
England
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 1914 |
DEN
3 - 0
ENG
51%
21%
28%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1914 |
SCO
3 - 1
ENG
36%
24%
41%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1914 |
WAL
0 - 2
ENG
22%
22%
56%
|
83 | 61 | 22 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1914 |
ENG
0 - 3
INE
88%
8%
4%
|
84 | 53 | 31 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 1912 |
SCO
1 - 1
ENG
32%
23%
45%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |