Dutch India vs Wales analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.5%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.3%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.8%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
36.9%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dutch India
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 1910 |
WAL
4 - 1
INE
76%
14%
10%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1910 |
INE
1 - 0
SCO
21%
23%
56%
|
54 | 75 | 21 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 1907 |
SCO
3 - 0
INE
87%
9%
4%
|
54 | 73 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1907 |
INE
2 - 3
WAL
42%
23%
35%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 1907 |
ENG
1 - 0
INE
7%
18%
75%
|
55 | 19 | 36 | 0 |
Matches
Wales
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 1910 |
WAL
4 - 1
INE
76%
14%
10%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1910 |
WAL
0 - 1
ENG
18%
20%
62%
|
63 | 83 | 20 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 1910 |
SCO
1 - 0
WAL
78%
13%
9%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1909 |
IDI
2 - 3
WAL
68%
17%
15%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 1909 |
ENG
2 - 0
WAL
87%
8%
4%
|
63 | 82 | 19 | -1 |