Dutch India vs Wales analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.8%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.9%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.2%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
34.9%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dutch India
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 1907 |
ENG
1 - 0
INE
7%
18%
75%
|
56 | 20 | 36 | 0 |
Matches
Wales
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 1906 |
WAL
4 - 4
IDI
49%
23%
29%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1906 |
WAL
0 - 1
ENG
30%
24%
46%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 1906 |
SCO
0 - 2
WAL
80%
12%
8%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | +2 |
| 08 Apr. 1905 |
IDI
2 - 2
WAL
75%
14%
11%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1905 |
ENG
3 - 1
WAL
68%
19%
13%
|
62 | 78 | 16 | 0 |