Copa Libertadores Final
Global 2-1
Independiente vs Universitario Deportes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.6%
Win probability
2.74
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.6%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.1%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.1%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
15.3%
12.1%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 1972 |
BAN
3 - 3
IND
28%
26%
46%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1972 |
UNI
0 - 0
IND
50%
22%
27%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1972 |
IND
0 - 0
ARG
68%
19%
13%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1972 |
GLP
0 - 1
IND
39%
24%
36%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1972 |
IND
2 - 0
SAO
71%
16%
13%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Universitario Deportes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 1972 |
UNI
0 - 0
IND
50%
22%
27%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1972 |
PEÑ
1 - 1
UNI
69%
18%
13%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1972 |
NAC
3 - 3
UNI
69%
18%
12%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1972 |
UNI
3 - 0
NAC
39%
26%
35%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 1972 |
UNI
2 - 3
PEÑ
44%
27%
30%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |