Independiente vs Universitario de Deportes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.5%
Win probability
2.82
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.1%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.8%
3-0
8%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.7%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
14.5%
11%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 1968 |
IND
3 - 0
CHA
68%
19%
14%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1968 |
EST
1 - 0
IND
63%
21%
16%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1968 |
HUR
2 - 1
IND
49%
26%
25%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1968 |
IND
1 - 2
EST
62%
21%
17%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1968 |
IND
1 - 0
TIG
73%
17%
10%
|
83 | 64 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Universitario de Deportes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 1968 |
EST
1 - 0
UNI
73%
16%
12%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1968 |
UNI
0 - 3
IND
54%
24%
23%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 1968 |
UNI
1 - 0
EST
49%
24%
27%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 1968 |
SPC
2 - 2
UNI
66%
18%
17%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1968 |
UNI
6 - 0
REA
61%
19%
20%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | +1 |