Independiente vs Unión Santa Fe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.9%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
21.2%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
IND
2 - 1
CDN
62%
24%
15%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
ALM
1 - 0
IND
29%
31%
40%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
TAL
2 - 2
IND
42%
28%
30%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2013 |
IND
2 - 1
SAR
58%
25%
18%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2013 |
VSC
0 - 1
IND
23%
30%
47%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Unión Santa Fe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
INS
1 - 3
CAU
42%
28%
30%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2013 |
CAU
3 - 1
DYJ
40%
27%
33%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
CAU
3 - 2
FER
51%
27%
23%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2013 |
SMA
1 - 1
CAU
58%
23%
20%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2013 |
CAU
1 - 3
GIM
58%
26%
17%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | -1 |