Independiente vs Santa Fe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.9%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.6%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.6%
11.5%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 1972 |
RAC
1 - 1
IND
41%
26%
34%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1972 |
IND
0 - 2
RIV
58%
23%
19%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1972 |
NOB
5 - 4
IND
46%
26%
29%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1972 |
IND
2 - 0
CEN
64%
20%
16%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1972 |
IND
3 - 1
FER
68%
20%
12%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Santa Fe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 1972 |
NAC
0 - 1
SFE
59%
19%
22%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1972 |
SFE
2 - 4
IND
37%
25%
37%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1972 |
SFE
0 - 0
CEN
41%
25%
34%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1972 |
SFE
1 - 1
NAC
52%
21%
27%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1967 |
IND
0 - 4
SFE
64%
18%
18%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |