Independiente vs San Martín San Juan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.7%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.4%
18%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2017 |
IND
0 - 0
RAC
40%
26%
34%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2017 |
IND
0 - 3
RAC
40%
26%
34%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
ATT
0 - 0
IND
40%
27%
33%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
IND
0 - 1
BAN
48%
26%
26%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
COL
0 - 2
IND
36%
28%
36%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
San Martín San Juan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
SMA
0 - 1
HUR
43%
27%
30%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
SMA
1 - 1
RIV
33%
27%
40%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
NOB
6 - 1
SMA
52%
26%
23%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
SMA
3 - 2
EST
31%
29%
41%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2016 |
ARS
0 - 0
SMA
46%
25%
28%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |