Independiente vs San Martín San Juan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.1%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
27.5%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2014 |
GIM
1 - 0
IND
31%
31%
38%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2014 |
IND
3 - 2
SPB
61%
24%
16%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2014 |
CDN
3 - 1
IND
32%
31%
37%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2014 |
IND
1 - 1
ALM
65%
23%
13%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2014 |
IND
4 - 2
RSA
63%
22%
15%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
San Martín San Juan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2014 |
SMA
2 - 0
FER
60%
23%
17%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2014 |
SMA
2 - 1
CIP
73%
17%
10%
|
72 | 56 | 16 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
DHA
2 - 2
SMA
29%
29%
42%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2014 |
GIM
1 - 1
SMA
30%
29%
41%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
SMA
1 - 0
SPB
62%
22%
16%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |