Independiente vs San Lorenzo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.2%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
25.9%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2006 |
INS
0 - 5
IND
25%
27%
48%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2006 |
IND
0 - 0
LAN
54%
24%
23%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2005 |
IND
2 - 2
CEN
50%
24%
25%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2005 |
BOC
2 - 0
IND
59%
22%
19%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2005 |
IND
4 - 0
OLI
60%
23%
17%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
San Lorenzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2006 |
SLO
1 - 2
EST
57%
23%
19%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2006 |
VEL
1 - 1
SLO
50%
26%
24%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2005 |
ARS
1 - 2
SLO
44%
26%
30%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2005 |
SLO
1 - 4
COL
54%
23%
23%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2005 |
BAN
5 - 0
SLO
46%
26%
28%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |