Independiente vs San Lorenzo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.4%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.8%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
38.8%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2004 |
LAN
4 - 2
IND
49%
27%
24%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2004 |
IND
3 - 0
ALM
66%
20%
13%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2004 |
QUI
1 - 0
IND
45%
28%
27%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2004 |
IND
2 - 1
CHI
61%
23%
16%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | +2 |
| 20 Jun. 2004 |
RAF
2 - 1
IND
42%
27%
30%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
San Lorenzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2004 |
SLO
3 - 0
GLP
61%
23%
16%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2004 |
BOC
3 - 0
SLO
52%
25%
23%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2004 |
QUI
0 - 2
SLO
33%
27%
40%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2004 |
SLO
1 - 1
OLI
68%
20%
12%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2004 |
SLO
1 - 0
BOC
39%
26%
35%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | +1 |