Independiente vs San Lorenzo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.5%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
23.4%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 1971 |
IND
2 - 2
SLO
51%
25%
24%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1971 |
IND
3 - 1
ARG
68%
20%
13%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1971 |
RIV
2 - 3
IND
53%
24%
23%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1971 |
IND
2 - 0
DOA
80%
12%
8%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1971 |
IND
2 - 1
RAC
65%
21%
14%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
San Lorenzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 1971 |
CEN
2 - 1
SLO
43%
27%
30%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1971 |
IND
2 - 2
SLO
51%
25%
24%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1971 |
COL
1 - 4
SLO
39%
25%
36%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1971 |
SLO
3 - 1
ATL
76%
15%
9%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1971 |
BOC
2 - 2
SLO
46%
26%
28%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |