Independiente vs Racing Club analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.8%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
21.4%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
SMA
3 - 0
IND
35%
29%
37%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
IND
0 - 0
VEL
43%
26%
31%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2009 |
IND
1 - 0
SLO
40%
27%
34%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2009 |
BOC
2 - 0
IND
66%
20%
14%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2009 |
IND
1 - 1
RIV
44%
25%
31%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Racing Club
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2009 |
RAC
1 - 4
HUR
48%
27%
25%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
LAN
3 - 1
RAC
66%
20%
13%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2009 |
BOC
2 - 0
RAC
72%
17%
11%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2009 |
RAC
1 - 1
RIV
34%
27%
40%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2009 |
SLO
0 - 1
RAC
68%
19%
13%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |