Independiente vs Quilmes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.2%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
11%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
19.9%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2004 |
IND
2 - 0
NOB
37%
26%
37%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2004 |
ARS
2 - 1
IND
48%
28%
24%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2004 |
IND
2 - 2
EST
49%
27%
24%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2004 |
RIV
3 - 0
IND
69%
19%
12%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2004 |
IND
1 - 1
INS
73%
18%
10%
|
74 | 57 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Quilmes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2005 |
COL
2 - 2
QUI
63%
22%
16%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2005 |
QUI
0 - 0
COL
36%
27%
37%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2004 |
GLP
0 - 0
QUI
54%
25%
21%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2004 |
QUI
0 - 1
BOC
28%
28%
45%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2004 |
OLI
4 - 2
QUI
43%
28%
29%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |