Independiente vs Quilmes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.5%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.7%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.2%
13.4%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 1979 |
SLO
2 - 2
IND
40%
26%
34%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1979 |
IND
1 - 2
CEN
64%
22%
14%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 1979 |
CAL
1 - 0
IND
43%
24%
32%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1979 |
MIL
3 - 3
IND
36%
25%
39%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1979 |
ATL
1 - 2
IND
37%
26%
37%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Quilmes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 1979 |
GLP
1 - 2
QUI
61%
22%
18%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1979 |
QUI
0 - 0
VEL
47%
28%
25%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1979 |
MIL
1 - 0
QUI
49%
22%
29%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 1979 |
CAL
3 - 2
QUI
59%
21%
21%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1979 |
QUI
2 - 2
RIV
37%
28%
35%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |