Independiente vs Platense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.4%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.2%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.4%
9.2%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 1980 |
BOC
2 - 5
IND
44%
25%
31%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1980 |
IND
2 - 0
CEN
61%
23%
16%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1980 |
EST
1 - 1
IND
47%
23%
30%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 1980 |
IND
3 - 1
COL
59%
22%
18%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 1980 |
FER
2 - 1
IND
43%
25%
32%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Platense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 1980 |
PLA
1 - 0
TIG
70%
19%
11%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1980 |
RIV
2 - 0
PLA
76%
16%
9%
|
67 | 84 | 17 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 1980 |
PLA
1 - 0
NOB
35%
28%
37%
|
65 | 83 | 18 | +2 |
| 24 Feb. 1980 |
QUI
0 - 0
PLA
62%
23%
16%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 1980 |
PLA
2 - 2
CAU
35%
29%
37%
|
64 | 83 | 19 | 0 |