Copa Libertadores Last 16
Global 9-0
Independiente vs Pepeganga Margarita analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
92%
Win probability
3.25
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.9%
9-1
0.1%
+8
1%
7-0
2.2%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.5%
6-0
4.7%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
<0%
+6
5.4%
5-0
8.7%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
10.2%
4-0
13.4%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.2%
+4
16.2%
3-0
16.5%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.9%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.7%
6.4%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
2.8%
2-2
0.7%
3-3
0.1%
0
6.4%
1.5%
Win probability
0.3
Expected goals
0-1
0.9%
1-2
0.4%
2-3
0.1%
-1
1.3%
0-2
0.1%
1-3
0%
-2
0.2%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 1990 |
PEP
0 - 6
IND
8%
17%
76%
|
83 | 21 | 62 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1990 |
FER
2 - 0
IND
25%
31%
44%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1990 |
IND
0 - 0
VEL
66%
22%
12%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1990 |
ESP
0 - 2
IND
36%
28%
36%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1990 |
IND
1 - 1
RIV
53%
26%
21%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Pepeganga Margarita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 1990 |
PEP
0 - 6
IND
8%
17%
76%
|
21 | 83 | 62 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1990 |
PRO
2 - 0
PEP
80%
14%
6%
|
21 | 69 | 48 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1990 |
DEF
1 - 0
PEP
88%
10%
2%
|
21 | 73 | 52 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1990 |
PEP
2 - 1
MIN
10%
19%
71%
|
20 | 70 | 50 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 1990 |
PEP
1 - 0
DEF
11%
21%
68%
|
19 | 73 | 54 | +1 |