Independiente vs Peñarol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.3%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
16.3%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 1987 |
IND
2 - 3
VEL
63%
22%
15%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1987 |
IND
2 - 1
RIV
51%
26%
24%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1987 |
ESP
3 - 1
IND
33%
24%
43%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 1987 |
IND
1 - 0
RIV
47%
26%
27%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 1987 |
INS
1 - 1
IND
46%
25%
28%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 1987 |
PEÑ
0 - 0
RIV
48%
28%
25%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1987 |
PEÑ
3 - 0
IND
48%
27%
25%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 1987 |
PEÑ
2 - 0
AGU
62%
23%
15%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1987 |
PEÑ
2 - 0
ALI
75%
16%
10%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | +1 |
| 26 May. 1987 |
PRO
1 - 1
PEÑ
16%
26%
58%
|
82 | 66 | 16 | 0 |