Independiente vs Palmeiras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.1%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.4%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
41.1%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2000 |
LAN
2 - 1
IND
43%
26%
32%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2000 |
IND
0 - 2
HUR
73%
17%
10%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2000 |
IND
0 - 0
BEL
69%
19%
12%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2000 |
CRZ
3 - 0
IND
69%
18%
12%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2000 |
ALM
1 - 1
IND
19%
24%
57%
|
78 | 60 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Palmeiras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2000 |
SAN
2 - 3
PAL
51%
23%
26%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2000 |
PAL
1 - 1
UCO
72%
17%
11%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2000 |
PAL
1 - 4
SCI
72%
17%
11%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2000 |
PAL
0 - 1
COR
64%
20%
16%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2000 |
ATP
0 - 0
PAL
41%
25%
34%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |