Independiente vs Nueva Chicago analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.5%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.6%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
15.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.2%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.5%
11%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2006 |
GOD
3 - 1
IND
21%
25%
54%
|
80 | 60 | 20 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2006 |
IND
3 - 0
GLP
47%
27%
27%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2006 |
EST
2 - 1
IND
47%
25%
28%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2006 |
IND
0 - 1
SLO
47%
26%
27%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2006 |
LAN
2 - 4
IND
51%
24%
25%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Nueva Chicago
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2006 |
CHI
0 - 3
CEN
30%
28%
42%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2006 |
BAN
1 - 1
CHI
65%
22%
12%
|
64 | 81 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2006 |
CHI
0 - 1
BOC
17%
23%
61%
|
64 | 85 | 21 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2006 |
BEL
1 - 1
CHI
44%
28%
28%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2006 |
CHI
1 - 0
COL
30%
27%
43%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | +1 |