Independiente vs Newell's Old Boys analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.5%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.5%
22%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2022 |
CAU
0 - 1
IND
37%
28%
35%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2022 |
VEL
0 - 2
IND
48%
25%
27%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2022 |
SAR
1 - 2
IND
29%
27%
45%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2022 |
IND
3 - 0
ALD
57%
25%
18%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
GLP
3 - 1
IND
45%
26%
29%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Newell's Old Boys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
NOB
0 - 1
SAR
54%
26%
21%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2022 |
ALD
1 - 2
NOB
35%
28%
38%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
NOB
2 - 0
GLP
37%
29%
35%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2022 |
TAL
2 - 1
NOB
49%
26%
26%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
VEL
0 - 1
NOB
56%
25%
20%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | +1 |