Independiente vs Newell's Old Boys analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.6%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
26%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
BOC
3 - 1
IND
55%
25%
20%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2014 |
IND
4 - 1
LAN
38%
27%
36%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2014 |
ARS
1 - 1
IND
48%
26%
25%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
IND
0 - 1
GLP
52%
26%
22%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
IND
3 - 1
TIG
47%
27%
26%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Newell's Old Boys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2014 |
NOB
2 - 4
ARS
51%
26%
23%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2014 |
DYJ
1 - 0
NOB
38%
27%
35%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
TIG
1 - 2
NOB
45%
27%
28%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2014 |
NOB
3 - 1
SLO
51%
27%
23%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
NOB
2 - 2
GOD
51%
26%
23%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |