Independiente vs Millonarios analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.4%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8%
3-0
8%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.3%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.8%
12.9%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 1968 |
CAL
1 - 0
IND
47%
24%
28%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1968 |
MIL
1 - 2
IND
44%
25%
31%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1968 |
IND
2 - 4
EST
65%
20%
15%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 1967 |
IND
4 - 0
RAC
61%
23%
17%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 1967 |
RIV
0 - 2
IND
57%
24%
19%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Millonarios
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 1968 |
MIL
4 - 2
CAL
52%
22%
26%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1968 |
MIL
0 - 1
EST
44%
25%
31%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1968 |
MIL
1 - 2
IND
44%
25%
31%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | -1 |
| 29 Jun. 1964 |
ALI
1 - 2
MIL
66%
17%
17%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Jun. 1964 |
IND
5 - 1
MIL
64%
19%
17%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | -1 |