Independiente vs Millonarios analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.2%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
19%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19%
16.7%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 1964 |
ALI
2 - 2
IND
46%
24%
31%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1964 |
IND
4 - 0
ALI
66%
19%
16%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1964 |
IND
2 - 0
BAN
63%
21%
17%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1964 |
EST
1 - 1
IND
35%
24%
41%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1964 |
IND
3 - 1
RAC
52%
23%
25%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Millonarios
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 1964 |
MIL
3 - 2
ALI
52%
20%
27%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 1963 |
MIL
0 - 2
BOT
55%
21%
24%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 May. 1963 |
MIL
0 - 1
ALI
60%
20%
20%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 1963 |
ALI
0 - 0
MIL
56%
20%
24%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1962 |
MIL
3 - 1
EME
66%
17%
17%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | +1 |