Independiente vs Juventus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
23.4%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 1973 |
GIM
2 - 2
IND
30%
28%
42%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1973 |
IND
3 - 1
BOC
44%
26%
31%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1973 |
CEN
2 - 1
IND
58%
23%
19%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1973 |
IND
2 - 1
KIM
71%
18%
11%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1973 |
IRV
2 - 1
IND
24%
28%
48%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Juventus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 1973 |
ACM
2 - 2
JUV
59%
23%
18%
|
89 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1973 |
JUV
3 - 0
GEN
86%
11%
4%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 1973 |
USF
0 - 1
JUV
26%
28%
46%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1973 |
BOL
0 - 0
JUV
35%
28%
37%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1973 |
JUV
3 - 1
LAZ
81%
13%
6%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | -1 |