Recopa Sudamerica Final
Global 3-4
Independiente vs Internacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.6%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
32.7%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2011 |
JUB
2 - 2
IND
38%
25%
37%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2011 |
IND
5 - 1
HUR
65%
21%
14%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2011 |
TIG
0 - 0
IND
41%
27%
32%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2011 |
IND
1 - 2
LAN
45%
26%
29%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2011 |
EST
0 - 2
IND
51%
26%
23%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Internacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2011 |
SCI
3 - 2
CRZ
37%
26%
37%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2011 |
FLU
2 - 0
SCI
46%
25%
29%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2011 |
SCI
0 - 0
ATL
63%
22%
15%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2011 |
SCI
2 - 2
ACM
35%
28%
37%
|
84 | 90 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2011 |
FCB
2 - 2
SCI
83%
12%
5%
|
84 | 96 | 12 | 0 |