Independiente vs Huracán Tres Arroyos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.3%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.4%
11.3%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2004 |
CEN
0 - 0
IND
49%
27%
24%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2004 |
IND
0 - 2
VEL
42%
27%
32%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2004 |
IND
1 - 0
RAC
44%
26%
31%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2004 |
GLP
2 - 1
IND
49%
26%
25%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2004 |
IND
2 - 1
BOC
31%
27%
42%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Huracán Tres Arroyos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2004 |
HUR
1 - 2
GLP
27%
28%
45%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2004 |
BOC
2 - 1
HUR
80%
15%
6%
|
62 | 85 | 23 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2004 |
HUR
2 - 1
OLI
33%
28%
39%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2004 |
SLO
4 - 1
HUR
71%
19%
10%
|
62 | 84 | 22 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2004 |
HUR
1 - 3
LAN
24%
26%
50%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | -1 |