Independiente vs Guabirá Santa Cruz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.7%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
13%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.8%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.8%
12.5%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2021 |
IND
1 - 0
BAH
52%
26%
23%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2021 |
EST
0 - 0
IND
32%
29%
39%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2021 |
TOR
1 - 1
IND
40%
27%
33%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
HUR
1 - 3
IND
28%
26%
46%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2021 |
BAH
2 - 2
IND
43%
27%
30%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Guabirá Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2021 |
GUA
0 - 4
TOR
33%
24%
43%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2021 |
GUA
0 - 1
BAH
34%
26%
40%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
NAC
2 - 1
GUA
52%
23%
25%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2021 |
TOR
4 - 0
GUA
57%
22%
21%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
GUA
1 - 0
SAC
65%
20%
15%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | +1 |